Abstract (eng)
The research of correlates predicting conspiracist beliefs has increased significantly in the past years. In two studies it was tried to examine a range of different psychological factors and observe them over a period of time. In study 1, 181 persons completed a questionnaire about Osama bin Laden conspiracy theories, as well as personal attitudes and personality factors. Results suggest that stronger Osama bin Laden conspiracy belief was predicted by stronger general belief in conspiracy theories, lower conscientiousness and greater political cynism. After four months, participants showed lower levels of general conspiracy belief than in the first instant. In study 2, two different samples (overall 558 persons) were interrogated at intervals of three years; with Natascha Kampusch conspiracy theories in the center of interest. Higher belief in these theories was predicted by stronger general belief in conspiracy theories, greater superstitious beliefs, higher levels of information seeking about the subject and lower religiousness. At the second point of time Natascha Kampusch conspiracy belief has eased. These results confirm assumptions of a monological belief system (Goertzel, 1994), as well as individual difference correlates as stable predictors for conspiracy belief.